July
9

Inman News recently ran this article from Mary Umberger on the five trends of Gen Y homebuyers. Pretty interesting look at how this generation (roughly those born between 1977 and 1989) approaches home buying.

Click here to go to the article, or you can read it here:

For so long, everything in housing has been Baby Boom, Baby Boom, Baby Boom. There are so many of them — about 76 million, born between 1946-64 — and their spending habits so influential that for years they’ve driven the decision-making process at all levels of the housing world.

The successor demographic, dubbed Generation X, has started to be heard. But a California real estate consulting firm is looking further down the road, and charting the housing preferences of Generation Y, sometimes called the Echo Boomers or Millennials.

They’re going to be influential — though maybe for what they’re not going to do rather than what they will do, according to Tim Cornwell, a researcher for the Concord Group, a housing consultancy in San Francisco that in the past year has been studying their housing attitudes.

“Our generation has been raised in a world where they’re told every single day they can have everything they want,” he said of Generation Y, of which he is a member, having been born in 1980. The reality of today’s economy may make that mindset a little tricky for them, he said.

Five things to know about Gen Y and housing:

1. Demographers differ on when members of Generation Y started to be born, though one often-cited bracket for the age group is 1977 through 1989, years that slightly overlap with Generation X, which analysts generally say were born 1965 through 1980. Generally speaking, the 60 million or so Americans in the Y group are now in their 20s, and Cornwell said they haven’t been studied much yet.

2. Where baby boomers and Gen X started to make themselves known in the real estate market in their 20s, Generation Y will be taking its time, for a couple of reasons, Cornwell said.

For one thing, they’re postponers. “They graduate from college and use graduate school to postpone adulthood or they travel” for an extended period after school, he said. These decisions limit their earnings and any savings that might otherwise go into homebuying, he said.

And then there’s the economy.

“The economic picture for Generation Y is depressingly ugly,” he said. In his company’s research, 40 percent said they’re still getting significant financial help from their families.

Thus, they’re not likely to begin buying real estate in significant numbers until they hit the age of 35, he said.

“For most people in their mid-to-late 20s, (homebuying) isn’t even in the conversation,” Cornwell said. “Most of us can’t afford to buy our parents’ houses. Either our preferences have to change or density issues will come up.”

3. Cornwell said Gen Y has a “mobile mindset,” where lifestyle is everything.

“Used to be, you picked a job and you moved to the city where that job was,” Cornwell said. But this group values locale and amenities first, and may be inclined to move to try out different places and will look to wedge in their jobs and careers accordingly.

That transience could affect neighborhood turnover rates and possibly mortgage terms, he said.

4. Their affinity for neighborhood amenities means that their real estate purchases, when they happen, probably will be in so-called “inner ring” suburbs, near-in to larger cities, Cornwell said, though there’s a difference of opinion within the research that’s been done so far.

“Everybody in the industry likes to say that Gen Y will look to homes that are more urban and attached,” such as townhouses and condominiums, he said. “That they’ll look for (places that offer some benefits of urban living, proximity to transit and culture).

“But I think we’re more traditional than people give us credit for, that we will look to single-family homes in the first-ring suburbs,” he said. Those Gen Yers, once they hit 35 or thereabouts, will be having babies and will want to reconcile “urban amenities” with schools and safety, and the first-ring towns often offer enough of the urban lifestyle to satisfy the need, he said.

This desire doesn’t bode particularly well for the distant suburbs that sprang up during the housing boom, he said. Gen Y doesn’t want to spend that much time commuting, he said.

5. What do they want in a house? There’s a stated preference for open floor plans, Cornwell said.

In Concord Group research, the younger Gen Y respondents (20-24) were less interested in a larger home size the next time they moved. They want a big kitchen (though they’re inclined to eat out), and a garage and some yard space.

They have little interest in a formal dining room or a media or game room.

About one-fourth of all the Gen Y people surveyed said they’d pay 5 percent to 10 percent extra to live a 10-minute walk or bike ride (or short car trip) to get to work or retail services.

# # #

Mary Umberger is a freelance writer in Chicago.

May
20

Inman News is a real estate website geared toward realtors, which I turn to regularly for updates and articles. A recent story from Inman details the latest on the national foreclosure situation, identifying the top-10 hardest hit locations. Here’s the article:

Top 10 highest foreclosure rates: Las Vegas leads

By Inman News

Created 2010-05-13 01:00

Fewer people received motgage default notices in April, according to a report by foreclosure data company RealtyTrac. At the same time, bank repossessions shot up to a new monthly high.

“(Those) were two important milestones…that show foreclosure activity has begun to plateau — but at a very high level that will not drop off in the near future,” said James J. Saccacio, RealtyTrac’s CEO, in a statement.

“We expect a similar pattern to continue for most of this year, with the overall numbers staying at a high level and ripples of activity hitting the various stages of the foreclosure process as lenders systematically work through the backlog of distressed properties,” Saccacio added.

Total foreclosure activity — default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions combined — fell two percent year-over-year, and nine percent month-to-month, to 333, 837 properties. That decrease comes after foreclosure activity ramped up in the first quarter, mostly in the place of properties repossessed by the lender.

Default notice filings fell 27 percent year-over-year and 12 percent from the previous month, to a total of 103,762 properties. Foreclosure auction filings rose one percent year-over-year, but fell 13 percent from March, to 137,643 properties.

Bank repossessions (REOs) were up one percent from the previous month, but rose a dramatic 45 percent from April 29 to a new monthly high: 92,432 properties. The previous peak was in December when REOs hit 92,182, the report said. Bank repossessions rose 35 percent year-over-year in the first quarter.

California, Florida, Michigan, Illinois and Nevada made up 52 percent of the total foreclosure filings in the U.S., the report said. California and Nevada also dominated the 10 metropolitan areas with the highest foreclosure rates. Only Reno-Sparks, Nev. recorded an increase in year-over-year foreclosure activity in April — the rest saw a decrease in activity, the report said.

The U.S. foreclosure filings rate: 1 in 387 housing units received a foreclosure filing in April.

Top 10 state with the highest foreclosure rates:

  1. Nevada: 1 in 69 units
  2. Arizona: 1 in 169 units
  3. Florida: 1 in 182 units
  4. California: 1 in 192 units
  5. Utah: 1 in 221 units
  6. Idaho: 1 in 226 units
  7. Michigan: 1 in 237 units
  8. Illinois: 1 in 280 units
  9. Georgia: 1 in 288 units
  10. Colorado: 1 in 337 units

Top 10 metro areas with the highest foreclosure rates:

  1. Las Vegas: 1 in 60 units
  2. Modesto, Calif.: 1 in 101 units
  3. Merced, Calif.: 1 in 104 units
  4. Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla.: 1 in 105 units
  5. Stockton, Calif.: 1 in 108 units
  6. Riverside-San Bernadino-Ontario, Calif.: 1 in 110 units
  7. Reno-Spark, Nev.: 1 in 112 units
  8. Vallejo-Fairfield, Calif.: 1 in 117 units
  9. Bakersfield, Calif.: 1 in 120 units
  10. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz.: 1 in 136 units

Source: RealtyTrac.

RealtyTrac bases its foreclosure reports on foreclosure filing data from 2,200 counties across the country, accounting for more than 90 percent of the American population.

September
4

Recent national housing stats show an upward trend in the number of pending home sales (where the contract has been signed but the transaction has not closed). This article from the National Association of Realtors points out that this trend has actually been going on for the past six months.

West up; Northeast and Midwest down
According to the NAR, July pending home sales across the country were 12.7 percent higher than the same period in 2008, and they were also at their highest point since June 2007. Regionally, this trend is being buoyed by pending home sales in the West (up 12.1% from June, and 20% above this time last year), as pending home sale numbers in the Northeast and Midwest saw month-over-month decreases.

Tax credit motivating first-time homebuyers
As the article points out, a significant contributor to this trend is the high number of first-time home buyers who are entering the market to take advantage of the $8,000 tax credit available to them. As this deadline looms, that could have an impact on the high number of pending home sales we’re now seeing.

Future sales indicator
Pending home sales are often used as an indicator of future home sales. While all pending home sales may not close, this index is generally seen as a reliable indicator of housing market activity. More pending home sales means more buyers are in the process of closing on a home, so this is certainly encouraging news.

Inman News, a great resource I use regularly, also reported on this trend. You can read their article here.

Local stats should be in soon. So stay tuned to find out if this trend is occuring here locally as well.